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Major U.S. Concessions in Tentative Iran Deal Trigger Alarm among Experts

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June 17, 2026
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Following the release of a draft copy of a potential deal between the U.S. and Iran to end the three and a half month-long conflict, a number of experts expressed concern over the extent of the concessions put forward by Washington and remain doubtful about the Islamist regime’s stated intention of abandoning its nuclear weapons program.

As reported by The Wall Street Journal Wednesday, U.S. officials released a draft of a potential deal, later described by President Trump as a preliminary “memorandum of understanding,” at the G-7 meeting in France. In exchange for Tehran ceasing attacks against ships attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz and for promising to “never produce nuclear weapons,” the 14-point deal calls for the U.S. to lift its naval blockade of all Iranian ships, for all American forces to be withdrawn from the “surrounding area” within 30 days of a final agreement, create a plan for Iran’s “rehabilitation and economic development” by ensuring financing of at least $300 billion (although the U.S. would not be required to contribute), the lifting of “all unilateral U.S. sanctions, both primary and secondary,” the lifting of all U.S. sanctions on Iran’s oil exports, and the unfreezing of a portion of the estimated $100 billion in frozen Iranian assets, among other provisions.

In addition, the potential deal calls for a “permanent end to the war on all fronts, including Lebanon,” which would be a direct rebuke to Israel, who is currently commencing military operations against the Lebanon-based terrorist group Hezbollah for its repeated missile launches into the Jewish state.

Sources say a version of the deal could be signed by both countries as early as Thursday in Switzerland. Trump told reporters Wednesday that the U.S. may resume its attacks on Iran “if they don’t behave,” declaring, “[W]e’ll go right back to dropping bombs right smack in the middle of their head, okay?”

Still, experts like Family Research Council President Tony Perkins expressed grave concerns over Tehran’s stated promise to abandon its nuclear ambitions.

“Whether we’re dealing with the third or fourth string of the Iranian regime, the ideology is the same,” he noted during an appearance on C-SPAN Wednesday. “They’ve proven over and over that they’re not trustworthy, and so I’m very concerned about this agreement and whether or not we’re going to see 10 years down the road … [a] new administration if they are not dealing with a very similar problem. We kept hearing reports that because of the blockade of the Iranian ports, that the funding was beginning to dry up. I think we were very close to seeing the regime topple from within.”

“I think ultimately, to see different outcomes in Iran, it’s going to require a regime change, but that can be done by the people if the regime is destabilized enough,” Perkins continued. “Unfortunately, I think [the proposed deal] will stabilize the regime because of the frozen assets that will be released. And unfortunately, I don’t think that we will ultimately see the regime change that many were hoping for.”

Lt. Col. (Ret.) Robert Maginnis, who serves as FRC’s senior fellow for National Security, also voiced doubts over the deal and underscored specific requirements for Iran that should be included.

“I would be concerned about the nuclear program and all the details, the ballistic missile program and all the details, as well as the terrorist proxies, removing of mines, [the firing of] rockets and drones at ships in the area. So all of those are have to be part of the final agreement,” he told The Washington Stand. “If you’re seeing that, then that’s encouraging. If you’re not seeing those types of details, then I remain somewhat skeptical until we see the final draft.”

“As I heard J.D. Vance and the president say, this was based upon performance on the part of Iranians,” Maginnis continued. “If they back out of all the things that we’re concerned about, then lifting the sanctions makes sense. But first they have to demonstrate that they’re going to do that. And I’d like to see how we’re going to verify that they are doing what they’re promised before we give them one red cent.”

“This is supposed to take place over 60 days, so that’s an extended period of time,” he added. “The Iranians have never lived up to any agreement that anybody has had with them in the last 47 years. So color me skeptical.”

Dan Hart
Dan Hart is senior editor at The Washington Stand.


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